Deciding Between Hot Stocks: AVEO Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AVEO), Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI)

The shares of AVEO Pharmaceuticals, Inc. have decreased by more than -67.88% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -3.02% or -$0.02 and now trades at $0.51. The shares of Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (NYSE:AWI), has jumped by 61.04% year to date as of 11/07/2019. The shares currently trade at $93.74 and have been able to report a change of 0.22% over the past one week.

The stock of AVEO Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Armstrong World Industries, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of AVEO is 313.00% while that of AWI is 18.80%. These figures suggest that AVEO ventures generate a higher ROI than that of AWI.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, AVEO’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.12.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for AVEO is 2.20 and that of AWI is 2.10. This implies that it is easier for AVEO to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than AWI. The debt ratio of AVEO is 12.13 compared to 1.77 for AWI. AVEO can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than AWI.

Valuation

AVEO currently trades at a P/B of 51.40, and a P/S of 13.24 while AWI trades at a forward P/E of 18.55, a P/B of 12.43, and a P/S of 4.38. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, AWI is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of AVEO is currently at a -73.71% to its one-year price target of 1.94. Looking at its rival pricing, AWI is at a -7.94% relative to its price target of 101.83.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), AVEO is given a 2.50 while 2.70 placed for AWI. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for AWI stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for AVEO is 7.42 while that of AWI is just 3.19. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for AWI stock.

Conclusion

The stock of AVEO Pharmaceuticals, Inc. defeats that of Armstrong World Industries, Inc. when the two are compared, with AVEO taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. AVEO happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, AVEO is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for AVEO is better on when it is viewed on short interest.