2 Top Movers Choose Wisely: Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA), Green Plains Inc. (GPRE)

The shares of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. have increased by more than 3.40% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 1.67% or $0.09 and now trades at $5.47. The shares of Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE), has jumped by 16.32% year to date as of 11/07/2019. The shares currently trade at $15.25 and have been able to report a change of 23.68% over the past one week.

The stock of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. and Green Plains Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 7.20% versus 15.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that BBVA will grow it’s earning at a 7.20% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to GPRE which will have a positive growth at a 15.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of GPRE implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. BBVA has an EBITDA margin of 62.85%, this implies that the underlying business of BBVA is more profitable. The ROI of BBVA is 10.20% while that of GPRE is 7.20%. These figures suggest that BBVA ventures generate a higher ROI than that of GPRE.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, BBVA’s free cash flow per share is a positive 73.87, while that of GPRE is negative -0.85.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The debt ratio of BBVA is 0.00 compared to 1.02 for GPRE. GPRE can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than BBVA.

Valuation

BBVA currently trades at a forward P/E of 6.97, a P/B of 0.68, and a P/S of 1.05 while GPRE trades at a P/B of 0.70, and a P/S of 0.17. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, BBVA is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of BBVA is currently at a -27.84% to its one-year price target of 7.58. Looking at its rival pricing, GPRE is at a -9.23% relative to its price target of 16.80.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for BBVA is 1.38 while that of GPRE is just 9.04. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for BBVA stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Green Plains Inc. defeats that of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. when the two are compared, with GPRE taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. GPRE happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, GPRE is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for GPRE is better on when it is viewed on short interest.