The shares of The Williams Companies, Inc. have increased by more than 10.16% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.68% or -$0.67 and now trades at $24.29. The shares of Hostess Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:TWNK), has jumped by 29.43% year to date as of 09/12/2019. The shares currently trade at $14.16 and have been able to report a change of -1.19% over the past one week.
The stock of The Williams Companies, Inc. and Hostess Brands, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.
When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that WMB will grow it’s earning at a 9.18% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to TWNK which will have a positive growth at a 15.04% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of TWNK implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.
Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of WMB is 1.60% while that of TWNK is 5.50%. These figures suggest that TWNK ventures generate a higher ROI than that of WMB.Cash Flow
The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, WMB’s free cash flow per share is a positive 1.12, while that of TWNK is positive 0.01.
The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for WMB is 0.60 and that of TWNK is 2.20. This implies that it is easier for WMB to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than TWNK. The debt ratio of WMB is 1.61 compared to 0.74 for TWNK. WMB can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than TWNK.Valuation
WMB currently trades at a forward P/E of 22.64, a P/B of 2.13, and a P/S of 3.42 while TWNK trades at a forward P/E of 19.94, a P/B of 1.12, and a P/S of 2.11. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, TWNK is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.Analyst Price Targets and Opinions
The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of WMB is currently at a -19.17% to its one-year price target of 30.05. Looking at its rival pricing, TWNK is at a -11.5% relative to its price target of 16.00.
When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), WMB is given a 1.90 while 2.40 placed for TWNK. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for TWNK stocks.Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment
Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for WMB is 2.88 while that of TWNK is just 12.89. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for WMB stock.
The stock of The Williams Companies, Inc. defeats that of Hostess Brands, Inc. when the two are compared, with WMB taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. WMB happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, WMB is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for WMB is better on when it is viewed on short interest.